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Andrea ForexMart

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About Andrea ForexMart

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  1. Company News by ForexMart

    France GDP Expected to Grow, says BoF The economy of France is projected to increase at a steady pace in October to December based on the poll led by the Bank of France. The gross domestic product of the country is predicted to rise by 0.5 percent in Q4, which remains steady from the second estimate published in November. The French economy grew by 0.5 percent in the third quarter. The data from the survey today indicates that the industrial production resumed growing until November. The business leaders mentioned that output is planned to increase at a consistent pace this month. Moreover, the manufacturing confidence index also sustained its score at 106 last month, versus the forecasted increase of 107. On the other hand, the service sector activity heightened in the previous month. Business executives expect for a slight increase in activity for this month. The services confidence index further showed a steady stance at 102 in November, as the construction activity had a sharp rise in the same month. The sentiment index in construction gained slightly from 103 to 104, which was the highest recorded since December 2007. According to forecast, the activity may grow at a hardly slower momentum in December.
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    Canadian Trade Deficit Fell Off The trade deficit in Canada slumped to a five-month low during the month of October sustained by the recent rebound in the declining exports. According to the report of Statistics Canada, the country’s trade deficit came in at $1.48-billion in the month. It further shrank from September’s $3.36-billion which is considered the least downturn since May that break the four-month trade downfall. The reversal was interrupted by the rebound in exports, which seems gloomy in the past months after it accelerated on its record highs in spring. Exports increased by 2.7 percent month on month in terms of value and also gained support by strong prices which boost volumes by 1.2 percent. Moreover, the recovery of exports indicates optimism towards the Canadian economy for the last quarter in 2017. The drop of exports has been regarded a major factor that dragged Canada in Q3, upon the sluggish GDP growth pace during the first half of the year. Moreover, exports could possibly buoy by the soft loonies, as it lowered down by 5 cents versus its American counterpart during early September and by the end of October.
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    Japanese Government Additional Budget for FY2017 The Japanese government allocated an extra budget of 2.7 to 2.9 trillion yen equivalent to $24-26 billion for the current fiscal year until March 2018. There is an extra budget estimated worth of 1 trillion yen to boost expenditures, according to the official sources from the government Moreover, the government will remove excess cash compared to last year’s fiscal budget and unutilized money from debt processes since the lending costs were lower-than-expected, according to reports. There is no plan to make up with a deficit in bond issuance as long as there is ambiguity since there is still uncertainty in the future plans. After a major election in October, the Prime Minister Shinzo Abe’s cabinet members aims to boost childcare support, enhance productivity involving small and medium-sized companies which would toughen competition among agricultural, fishery and forestry industries.
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    Flat Economic Yield Curve Impact to the Economy The U.S. Treasury yield curve is intensifying concern as it has been moving flat at a quicker rate which could affect the outlook for the economy. Although, this is already expected since the slope of the curve has been a relevant tool because of its stability and positive track record. Oppositely, a narrow curve would mean a slowdown in growth. The economic signal has been more robust when there is an outright curve inversion, which happens when short-term yields are greater than those on longer-dated Treasuries. It is not the current situation but generally, people aim for 63 basis points. The difference between two- and 10-year Treasury yields have been reduced from 128 basis points in January which is the least gap since 2007 just before the recession began. There are investors who believe that the Treasury yield curve is enough to guarantee a change in the economic outlook but it is still far ahead. It is necessary to stabilize the changes in the yield curve of the financial market compared to the general economic yield curve. The spread between the federal funds rate and the nominal gross domestic product is the yield curve of the economy. This association is significant as it determined the ability of businesses and their consumers to afford higher borrowing costs which would ultimately affect the growth of the economy. Based on third-quarter data, the economy’s yield curve is near 300 basis points, which is can be achieved by taking the 4.1 percent annualized rate of growth in nominal GDP and deduct to the quarterly average of the federal funds rate of 1.15 percent. The spread widened by 65 basis points compared last year. However, despite the increase of 25 basis points by the Federal Reserve, the gap would increase the estimated by 4.5 percent to 5 percent growth in the nominal GDP which is already anticipated. Nevertheless, changes in the yield curve of the economy will be supported by the higher spread between the federal funds rate and nominal GDP growth amid a not-so-strong and restricted growth of the financial market. This would prop up profits and equities of businesses. The future perspective of the fixed-income market may not be that positive since higher growth would induce Fed to normalize monetary policy through rate hikes.
  5. Company News by ForexMart

    Record Low Drop of Aussie After RBA November Meeting It is still unknown when will the Reserve Bank of Australia be able to return to sufficient wages which would lift weakened inflation. At the same time, commentaries from the board push the dollar to its lowest level in five months. During the minutes of the Reserve Bank's Melbourne Cup day, it can be concluded that they are heedful that low unemployment rate could not be directly associated with the globalization and technology and put upward pressure on inflation. The cash rate positioned at a historic low of 1.5 percent following the November meeting when board member expressed their uncertainty on wage growth. When the unemployment rate drops, the salaries are expected to have an incremental increase. This could have a cooldown effect on the diminishing surge of the mining sector. Although the board members expressed that uncertainty with the possibility of a wage pressure and the size of its effect on the inflationary pressure. At the same time, tension coming from strong competition and a quicker rate in productivity pickup could hamper the push through of tighter labor market conditions to inflationary pressure. Following the release of the meeting, the Aussie dollar dropped to 75.33 US cents from 75.58 US cents which have been the lowest level since June. As mentioned, the board members see the competitive pressures effect on the outlook for inflation is predicted to decrease down to 2.25 percent but this is still within the target range of the central bank until the middle of 2019. In effect, it seems that the food retailers and other enterprise adjusted their business models to able to cope with cost problems. It is anticipated that the pressure on retail margins and costs will remain for a while. On the other hand, the board member also took notice that the wages growth weakened even though the supply in the labor market is declining. Hence, there is a chance that the current wage growth would not have a direct effect on the demand for labor and be less receptive to the changes in demands for labor. The chief economist of Royal Bank of Canada Su-Lin Ong presumed that the wages growth will reach the lowest rate in 2017. Considering the global trend, it cannot be clearly deduced whether the pace of wage growth could be maintained. Ong mentioned that the RBA could hold the rates at a steady pace in 2018 and proceed with increasing their prices the year after and end with two percent cash rate. She noted other factors such as weak domestic demand and variability in housing that is still far from reaching its goals amid an excessive labor market would have a minimal effect to raise the cash rate from 1.5 percent in early 2019.
  6. Company News by ForexMart

    VAT Returns of Small Firms Incorporates to UK GDP Calculation The Office for National Statistics evaluates the British economy by overhauling its way which includes huge VAT amounts from smaller companies for the first time. In the previous survey, the gross domestic product of the country was mainly based on the turnover of 45,000 largest firms. Since December, the data from the third of Britain’s 1.8m VAT returns will also be included in the turnover for the calculation of official GDP results. With this, assessing UK economic growth will have dramatic changes for this could provide further insights from particular areas and industries. A higher proportion of VAT returns involves small businesses with a total of 98pc of UK companies. In the past estimates of GDP, pubs and restaurants sectors, particularly "food and beverage service activities" have high levels according to the 172 monthly poll and 28,000 tax returns. According to the ONS, a much more detailed data will provide a comprehensive output of pubs, restaurants and takeaways and restaurants among various regions. The first new estimate encompasses VAT returns coming from small and medium businesses including 100 or fewer headcounts. While survey for large companies will remain to be part of the data gathering and ONS’s report. As there is only 20 percent of smaller firms in the UK economy, which means that the data accumulated by the national statistical institute will be more accurate but the overall GDP result could possibly be not altered despite its inclusion because major firms have a greater impact. Based on the perspective of PwC’s Economist John Hawksworth, it would be better if the Statistics authority will release GDP forecast “ with and without (the) use of the new VAT data" respectively, in order for the public to understand the difference. On the other hand, ONS chief economist Nick Vaughan announced that including additional information will be a gradual process.
  7. Company News by ForexMart

    Economic Calendar Know what will happen next in the financial markets with ForexMart's Forex Economic Calendar. ForexMart's Forex Economic Calendar is a real-time, customizable, and multifunctional, forex tool that allows traders to be updated with the latest and most relevant market events. All information that could be potentially impact your trading will be listed and analyzed here. A trader that knows more, profits more. Use ForexMart's Forex Economic Calendar and become a better trader today.
  8. Company News by ForexMart

    German Investor Confidence Rose According to Sentix The German investors sentiment had increased, reaching its highest level for this month. The country is the largest economy in the eurozone that managed a global economic expansion based on the statement of Sentix issued on Monday. The survey was released since the EU obtained a fast-pace economic recovery subsequent to a prolonged period of slow economic growth, the development period was supported by the dynamic money-printing programme of the ECB. Moreover, this raises concerns regarding bond bubbles and property within the cluster of rich countries. The economic sentiment index of Germany by the research group Sentix showed an upsurge of 42.4 versus 37.7 in October based on 1,000 investors who responded to the survey. Broader euro indices and the world economy arrive at 10-year highs. European Sentix index gained 34 points in November compared with the 29.7 in October, overcoming analysts expectations and reaching its all-time high since July 2007 EUSTCS=ECI. Forecasts for other improvements of the European economy climb to 22.8 against 18.3 earlier.
  9. Company News by ForexMart

    RBNZ Hold Official Rates Steady Economists are expecting that the Reserve Bank of New Zealand will maintain its official cash rate at 1.75 percent upon the publication of its monetary policy statement scheduled on Thursday. However, the schedule of future hikes appears to be dull until the new policies of the Labour-led government were already established. Either way, the rate increase still does not have specified time in the future. Most likely, the hike will happen at the end of 2018 while forecasts from the central bank show that the raise will hit at the end of 2019. An upward pressure is expected on local monetary policy, particularly on interest rates from foreign regions since the bank aims to ease off remaining artificially low rates since the Financial crisis of 2007–2008. In the previous week, the BOE implemented a rate hike after 10 years, raising from 0.25 percent to 0.5 percent. The Fed Reserve is known to lift its rates twice in 2017 and maintained within the range of 1 to 1.25 percent, however, some comments opposing the market expectations affected the rates and tend to increase again this December. In October, the European Central Bank mentioned that it plans to reduce the level of bond purchases for each month along with the leading yields of US 10-year bond that recently acquired 2.4 percent. Cameron Bagrie, ANZ chief economist, spoke about the slightly higher international signals compared with local rates. On the other hand, the financial markets are dealing with the future of new policy targets agreement (PTA) between the Reserve Bank and the Government. As indicated in the contract, the bank is obliged to maintain the next annual inflation within the average range of 1-3 percent in the medium term. Its focus is to manage future average inflation around the target midpoint of 2 percent. The employment intends to expand the deal in order to create an adequate level of labor rates as part of its objective while the political party NZ First discussed the policy revision. The total inflation for the year came in at 1.9 percent issued in September but new guidelines of the administration regarding wages and regional fuel taxes might influence prices to push higher. The greater-than-anticipated jobs figures last week highlighted a tighter labor market coupled with upside risks to inflation and surprised the RBNZ. The Reserve Bank explained that it anticipated for interest rate trends from overseas, especially from the US 10-year bond yield that serves as the major influence towards domestic rates. On Friday afternoon, the Kiwi dollar was down to US69.2c as the head of NZ First Winston Peters declared a coalition agreement last October 19.
  10. Company News by ForexMart

    This week’s most popular deal: Risk Warning: Foreign exchange is highly speculative and complex in nature, and may not be suitable for all investors. Forex trading may result to substantial gain or loss. Therefore, it is not advisable to invest money you cannot afford to lose. Before using the services offered by ForexMart, please acknowledge and understand the risks relative to forex trading. Seek financial advice, if necessary.
  11. Company News by ForexMart

    US Economy Supported by Trade and Inventories The American economy unanticipatedly sustained the rapid momentum in Q3, as the inventory investment increased and the smaller trade deficit eased off the impact from hurricanes towards the fall in consumer expenditure and curbed in construction. The country’s GDP gained 3.0 percent at an annualized rate during the months of July until September, which further strengthened the robust business equipment spending as mentioned by the Commerce Department on Friday. While goods inventories for sale added nearly three-quarters of percentage point growth during the previous quarter and the improved GDP underlines the economic health. This excludes the inventory investment, the economy was able to advance by 2.3 percent rate against the slow down by 2.9 percent during the second quarter. The estimates for domestic demand also declined to 2.2 percent versus 3.3 percent obtained in Q2. The United States acquired 3.1 percent growth during the second quarter, and this was the first time that the U.S growth reached higher than 3 percent for two consecutive quarters. Forecasts from economists show that GDP will increase by 2.5 percent in the third quarter. According to the US administration, it seems difficult to determine the effect of hurricanes Harvey and Irma towards the GDP in the third quarter. Initial evaluation indicates that the subsequent storms generated losses amounted to $US10.4 billion of government-owned fixed assets and $US121.0 billion ($A157.8 billion) worth of privately owned fixed assets. Inventories cumulated from firms came in at $US35.8 billion in the Q3, which boosted inventory investment by 0.73 percentage point to GDP growth in the said quarter. The inventories contributed an output of more than tenth of percentage point in the previous period. While economists are expecting for a decent expansion from inventories in the last quarter. Despite the drop in the fourth quarter and surpassed the sharpest decline in imports for three years which led to a smaller trade deficit and provided four-tenths of percentage point to economic development. Trade supported the output for three quarters in a row.
  12. Company News by ForexMart

    US Economy Supported by Trade and Inventories The American economy unanticipatedly sustained the rapid momentum in Q3, as the inventory investment increased and the smaller trade deficit eased off the impact from hurricanes towards the fall in consumer expenditure and curbed in construction. The country’s GDP gained 3.0 percent at an annualized rate during the months of July until September, which further strengthened the robust business equipment spending as mentioned by the Commerce Department on Friday. While goods inventories for sale added nearly three-quarters of percentage point growth during the previous quarter and the improved GDP underlines the economic health. This excludes the inventory investment, the economy was able to advance by 2.3 percent rate against the slow down by 2.9 percent during the second quarter. The estimates for domestic demand also declined to 2.2 percent versus 3.3 percent obtained in Q2. The United States acquired 3.1 percent growth during the second quarter, and this was the first time that the U.S growth reached higher than 3 percent for two consecutive quarters. Forecasts from economists show that GDP will increase by 2.5 percent in the third quarter. According to the US administration, it seems difficult to determine the effect of hurricanes Harvey and Irma towards the GDP in the third quarter. Initial evaluation indicates that the subsequent storms generated losses amounted to $US10.4 billion of government-owned fixed assets and $US121.0 billion ($A157.8 billion) worth of privately owned fixed assets. Inventories cumulated from firms came in at $US35.8 billion in the Q3, which boosted inventory investment by 0.73 percentage point to GDP growth in the said quarter. The inventories contributed an output of more than tenth of percentage point in the previous period. While economists are expecting for a decent expansion from inventories in the last quarter. Despite the drop in the fourth quarter and surpassed the sharpest decline in imports for three years which led to a smaller trade deficit and provided four-tenths of percentage point to economic development. Trade supported the output for three quarters in a row.
  13. Company News by ForexMart

    Unemployment Rate in France Drop in September The total unemployment figures of France reduce in September based on the records from the Labour Ministry issued on Tuesday. This encourages French President Emmanuel Macron to execute further efforts to improve the job market. The number of unemployed individuals in the mainland France was lowered down by 64,800 last month, this is the largest decrease since 1996. The 1.8 percent drop after a month and 0.5 percent within a year resulted in a total of 3,475,600 jobless people which is the lowest level from the month of April. The improvement was achieved due to reform efforts by Macron’s leadership that created more jobs and increased growth. President Macron is considering the reduction of unemployment in the country down to 10 percent for years, overhauling the rules of labor industry last month. This could be followed by some changes in unemployment benefits and professional training subsequently. The business confidence of France also perked up since Macron’s victory in May elections. The French politician pro-business reform agenda tend to shift company’s activities upwards in order to manage robust demand, according to a survey published on Tuesday morning. Moreover, the emergence of new businesses led companies to hire additional workers in October which could regulate rising backlogs, hence, this is the fastest pace recorded in a decade based on the monthly purchasing managers survey. On the other hand, industrial firms reported that their efficiency is moving towards the highest levels prior the outset of 2008-2009 global financial crisis indicated in a quarterly survey by the INSEE statistics agency on Tuesday. The expanding number of companies seems struggling to keep up with the demand. There are 32 percent of managers who admitted facing some congestion in the production system. This could be a positive indicator for the job markets considering that companies are forced to take more laborers in order to cope the demands of the client, therefore, reducing the unemployment rate.
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    World Economy’s Best Performance in Ten Years Boosted by China The strong economic development of China boosted the global economy that has been perking up on its most excellent performance in 10 years. The world’s second-largest economy announced on Thursday the expansion of 6.8 percent during the third quarter, after central bank governor Zhou Xiaochuan contemplated about the 7 percent pace for the second half over the weekend. Moreover, due to hints about the prospect of a sharp decline in 2018 could fade away, the economists of Goldman Sachs upgraded their projection by 6.5 percent increase next year. Indications of growth were clearly seen in Asia on Thursday, as the central bank of South Korea further raise its economic growth outlook for the current year, and exports from Japan attained double digits for three months straight in September, while the unemployment rate in Australia reduced surprisingly. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has lifted its forecast for the United States, China, Europe, and Japan, stating that the global economy is performing at its fastest pace in a decade. The Washington-based IMF predicted the world economy will expand by 3.6 percent in 2017 and 3.7 percent in 2018, showing growth of 0.1 percentage point against the earlier estimate, with the Asian region contributed 63.3 percent for the development. The renewal of China’s import demand became the major support throughout Asia, coupled with the strong recovery in Asian exports to EU and US that made an upswing around the globe, according to chief Asia-Pacific economist Klaus Baader from Société Générale SA. Also, Zhou mentioned that the impetus for China’s acceleration in the second half is derived from the household consumption which was indicated in the statistics issued yesterday. While the retail sales grew by 10.3 percent last month earlier this year. Aside from consumption, the Chinese data includes government expenditure that provided 64.5 percent growth from Q1 to Q3 of 2017 which shows 2.8 percentage points higher versus the same period in 2016.
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